US Politics - Political Specials (6)

Tucker Carlson 2024 Specials

4/30/24 4:00 AM

Tucker Carlson 2024 Specials

• To get a permanent slot on Fox News 16.00
• To relocate to Russia 41.00
• To interview Joe Biden for a Tucker On X episode 41.00

Will Florida Amendment 4 (2024) be approved?

5/5/24 4:00 AM

Florida Amendment 4

• Approved 1.014
• NOT approved 13.00

Applies to proposed amendment to Florida constitution to enshrine right to abortion up to fetal viability. Vote must take place in November 2024.

Will House Speaker Mike Johnson face a vote to vacate before July 2024?

5/5/24 9:00 PM

Will Mike Johnson face a vote to vacate before July?

• Yes 2.75
• No 1.417

Applies to whether or not a House vote on a motion to vacate Mike Johnson from his position as Speaker takes place. Vote must be counted and result made official.

Will Mike Johnson be House Speaker on June 30th 2024?

5/5/24 9:00 PM

Will Johnson be Speaker On June 30th?

• Yes 1.143
• No 5.25

Official status of position at start of the day.

Florida Amendment 4 (2024) Approval Result %

5/6/24 4:01 AM

Florida Amendment Approval Result %

• Over 75% 8.00
• 70.01 to 75% 6.00
• 65.01 to 70% 2.50
• 60.01 to 65% 2.40
• 60% or under 5.00

Applies to proposed amendment to Florida constitution to enshrine right to abortion up to fetal viability. Vote must take place in November 2024.

Florida Amendment 4 Approval Win Margin

5/6/24 4:01 AM

Florida Amendment Approval Win Margin

• Over 32.5% 1.833
• 32.5% or under 1.833

Applies to proposed amendment to Florida constitution to enshrine right to abortion up to fetal viability. Vote must take place in November 2024.

US Politics - US Senate Elections 2024 (4)

Senate Election Winner - Georgia

4/30/24 4:00 PM

Winner

• Republican 1.77
• Democrat 2.00

All in, run or not. Others on request.

Next Senate Republican Leader After Mitch McConnell

4/30/24 10:30 PM

Next Senate Republican Leader

spCoupon.showMore

• John Thune 1.667
• John Cornyn 4.50
• Rick Scott 16.00
• Steve Daines 16.00
• Rand Paul 19.00
• John Barrasso 21.00
• Lindsey Graham 21.00
• Tom Cotton 21.00
• Mike Crapo 23.00
• Joni Ernst 26.00
• Tim Scott 26.00
• Josh Hawley 31.00
• Ted Cruz 31.00
• Lisa Murkowski 51.00
• Susan Collins 51.00
• Marco Rubio 61.00
• Marsha Blackburn 101.00

All in, run or not. Others on request.

Senate Election Winner - Arizona

5/26/24 4:00 AM

Winner

• Democrat 1.571
• Republican 2.30

All in, run or not. Others on request.

Senate Election Winner - Ohio

5/26/24 4:00 AM

Winner

• Republican 1.667
• Democrat 2.15

All in, run or not. Others on request.

Politician Specials - Joe Biden Specials (3)

Joe Biden Approval Rating June 30th 2024

5/5/24 6:00 PM

Joe Biden Approval Rating June 30th 2024

• 40% or over 1.833
• Under 40% 1.833

Applies to 538.com/ABC News 'approve' rating for Joe Biden on June 30th 2024.

Will Joe Biden be impeached during his first term as President?

6/2/24 4:00 AM

Will Joe Biden be impeached during his first term as President?

• Yes 6.50
• No 1.10

Applies to whether or not an impeachment occurs; impeachment trial outcome may be guilty or not guilty and this does not affect the result. Must occur before next inauguration of a US president.

Will Joe Biden finish his first term?

7/28/24 4:00 AM

Will Joe Biden finish his first term as President?

• Yes 1.154
• No 5.00

Applies to sitting as President until 2024 presidential election winner is inaugurated.

Politician Specials - Donald Trump Specials (10)

Hush Money: Will Donald Trump be found guilty of one or more felonies in New York?

5/6/24 1:59 AM

Business Records/Hush Money New York State Trial

• Yes 1.40
• No 2.85

Applies to the first New York court case of 2023 for charges relating to campaign finance/business records; verdict must be guilty of one felony or more; applies whether trial is cancelled or not.

Hush Money: Will Donald Trump testify during the New York trial?

5/6/24 1:59 AM

Will Trump Testify?

• Yes 6.00
• No 1.111

Applies to business records/hush money New York trail beginning April 2024; must be fresh testimony in person in court.

Classified Docs: Will Donald Trump be found guilty of one or more of the classified documents federal charges?

5/6/24 2:00 AM

Classified Documents Federal Trial

• Yes 1.667
• No 2.15

Applies to the 2023 charges relating to classified documents and obstruction of justice; verdict must be guilty of one charge or more; applies whether trial is cancelled or not.

Federal Election Fraud: Will Donald Trump be found guilty of one or more of the 2020 election result federal charges?

5/6/24 2:00 AM

Election Result Federal Trial

• Yes 1.87
• No 1.87

Applies to the 2023 federal charges relating to 2020 election result actions; verdict must be guilty of one charge or more; applies whether trial is cancelled or not.

Georgia Election Interference: Will Donald Trump be found guilty of one or more of the 2020 presidential election Georgia result charges?

5/6/24 2:00 AM

Georgia Result State Trial

• Yes 1.80
• No 1.952

Applies to the 2023 state charges relating to 2020 Georgia state election result actions; verdict must be guilty of one charge or more; applies whether trial is cancelled or not.

Donald Trump Favorability Rating June 30th 2024

5/12/24 6:00 PM

Donald Trump Favorability Rating June 30th 2024

• Over 43.5% 2.00
• 43.5% or under 1.77

Applies to 538.com/ABC News 'favorable' rating for Donald Trump on June 30th 2024.

Which properties will Donald Trump lose by court order?

6/2/24 5:00 PM

Which properties will Trump lose?

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• Seven Springs Estate, New York 2.40
• 40 Wall Street, Manhattan 3.00
• Aberdeenshire Golf Course, Scotland 5.00
• Trump Park Avenue, Manhattan 5.00
• Trump Tower Triplex, Manhattan 5.50
• Mar-a-Lago, Florida 11.00

Trump Organization must hand over control and the property be sold by end of 2024 in relation to court order, reported as such by New York Times.

Prison Match Bet: To Serve Time First

7/1/24 2:00 AM

Prison Match Bet: To Serve Time First

• Donald Trump 1.154
• Hillary Clinton 5.00

Applies to the first from the list to serve time in prison following conviction of a crime. Bets void should neither occur by the end of 2025.

Will Donald Trump serve time in a prison before the presidential election?

7/1/24 2:00 AM

Will Trump Be Imprisoned Before Election?

• Yes 11.00
• No 1.025

Applies to whether or not Trump serves time in a jail or prison for minimum 24 hours before Nov 6th 2024 following conviction of a crime.

Will Joe Biden pardon Donald Trump?

7/29/24 12:00 AM

Will Joe Biden pardon Donald Trump?

• Joe Biden to pardon Donald Trump for all potential federal crimes before the 2024 election 8.00
• Joe Biden NOT to pardon Donald Trump before the 2024 election 1.063

Applies to Joe Biden's presidential pardon before the 2024 US presidential election.

US Politics - Presidential Debates (3)

2024 Debates Specials

5/15/24 10:00 PM

Debates Specials

• Robert F Kennedy, Jr to qualify for and participate in any presidential debate in 2024 11.00

How many presidential debates will take place?

5/15/24 10:00 PM

How many debates?

• 0 2.75
• 1 or more 1.417

Applies to televised debates between confirmed nominees for president (vice will not count).

Texas Debate Winner (Sept 16th)

5/15/24 10:00 PM

Texas Debate Winner

• Joe Biden 1.87
• Donald Trump 1.87

Texas presidential debate between nominees must take place before election day. According to first poll on winner by 538 ABC News.

US Presidential Election 2024 - Republicans (1)

Politician Specials - Ron DeSantis Specials (1)

US Presidential Election 2024 - Democrats (2)

Politician Specials - Hillary Clinton Specials (1)

US Presidential Election 2024 - Electoral College Winner (19)